How New Mexico Leveraged a COVID-19 Case Forecasting Model to Preemptively Address the Health Care Needs of the State: Quantitative Analysis

Lauren A Castro   ^{1, 2} , DPhil ;   Courtney D Shelley   ¹ , DPhil ;   Dave Osthus   ³ , DPhil ;   Isaac Michaud   ³ , DPhil ;   Jason Mitchell   ⁴ , MD ;   Carrie A Manore   ¹ , DPhil ;   Sara Y Del Valle   ¹ , DPhil

¹ Information Systems & Modeling Group, Analytics, Intelligence and Technology Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States

² Center for Nonlinear Studies, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States

³ Statistical Sciences Group, Computer, Computational, and Statistical Sciences Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States

⁴ Presbyterian Health Services, Albuquerque, NM, United States