Electronic Health Record–Based Absolute Risk Prediction Model for Esophageal Cancer in the Chinese Population: Model Development and External Validation

Yuting Han   ^{1 *} , PhD ;   Xia Zhu   ^{2, 3 *} , PhD ;   Yizhen Hu   ¹ , PhD ;   Canqing Yu   ^{1, 4} , PhD ;   Yu Guo   ⁵ , MSc ;   Dong Hang   ^{2, 3} , PhD ;   Yuanjie Pang   ¹ , DPhil ;   Pei Pei   ⁵ , MSc ;   Hongxia Ma   ^{2, 3} , PhD ;   Dianjianyi Sun   ^{1, 4} , PhD ;   Ling Yang   ^{6, 7} , PhD ;   Yiping Chen   ^{6, 7} , DPhil ;   Huaidong Du   ^{6, 7} , PhD ;   Min Yu   ⁸ , MSc ;   Junshi Chen   ⁹ , MD ;   Zhengming Chen   ⁷ , DPhil ;   Dezheng Huo   ¹⁰ , PhD ;   Guangfu Jin   ^{2, 3} , PhD ;   Jun Lv   ^{1, 4} , PhD ;   Zhibin Hu   ^{2, 3} , PhD ;   Hongbing Shen   ^{2, 3} , PhD ;   Liming Li   ^{1, 4} , MPH

¹ Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China

² Department of Epidemiology, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China

³ Jiangsu Key Lab of Cancer Biomarkers, Prevention and Treatment, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, China International Cooperation Center for Environment and Human Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China

⁴ Peking University Center for Public Health and Epidemic Preparedness and Response, Beijing, China

⁵ Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China

⁶ Medical Research Council Population Health Research Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom

⁷ Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom

⁸ Zhejiang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, China

⁹ China National Center for Food Safety Risk Assessment, Beijing, China

¹⁰ Department of Public Health Sciences, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, United States

*these authors contributed equally