Assessing COVID-19 Mortality in Serbia’s Capital: Model-Based Analysis of Excess Deaths

Dane Cvijanovic   ^{1 *} , MD ;   Nikola Grubor   ^{2 *} , MD ;   Nina Rajovic   ² , MD ;   Mira Vucevic   ³ , MD ;   Svetlana Miltenovic   ³ , MD ;   Marija Laban   ⁴ , MD ;   Tatjana Mostic   ⁵ , MD, PhD ;   Radica Tasic   ⁶ , MD, PhD ;   Bojana Matejic   ^{7 *} , MD, PhD ;   Natasa Milic   ^{2, 8 *} , MD, PhD

¹ Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, University Clinical Center Zvezdara, Belgrade, Serbia

² Institute of Medical Statistics and Informatics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia

³ The City Institute for Public Health, Belgrade, Serbia

⁴ Clinic of Pulmonology, University Clinical Center of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia

⁵ Department of Anesthesiology, University Clinical Center of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia

⁶ The College of Health Sciences, Academy of Applied Studies Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia

⁷ Institute of Social Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia

⁸ Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, United States

*these authors contributed equally