Modeling the Regional Distribution of International Travelers in Spain to Estimate Imported Cases of Dengue and Malaria: Statistical Inference and Validation Study

David García-García   ^{1, 2} , PhD ;   Beatriz Fernández-Martínez   ^{1, 2} , MD ;   Frederic Bartumeus   ^{3, 4, 5} , PhD ;   Diana Gómez-Barroso   ^{1, 2} , PhD

¹ Department of Communicable Diseases, National Centre of Epidemiology, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain

² Epidemiology and Public Health Biomedical Network Research Consortium (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain

³ Group of Theoretical and Computational Ecology, Centre for Advanced Studies of Blanes, Spanish Research Council, Blanes, Spain

⁴ Ecological and Forestry Applications Research Centre, Barcelona, Spain

⁵ Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies, Barcelona, Spain