Global, Regional, and National Prevalence of Gout From 1990 to 2019: Age-Period-Cohort Analysis With Future Burden Prediction

Qiyu He   ^{1 *} , MD, PhD ;   Tsz-Ngai Mok   ^{2, 3 *} , MD, PhD ;   Tat-Hang Sin   ^{4 *} , MD ;   Jiaying Yin   ⁵ , MPH ;   Sicun Li   ^{2, 6} , BA ;   Yiyue Yin   ⁷ , MSc ;   Wai-Kit Ming   ^{2, 8 *} , MPH, MMSc, MD, PhD ;   Bin Feng   ^{9 *} , MD

¹ State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, Bejing, China

² Department of Infectious Diseases and Public Health, Jockey Club College of Veterinary Medicine and Life Sciences, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China (Hong Kong)

³ Department of Orthopedic Surgery and Sports Medicine Center, The First Affiliated Hospital and The First Clinical College, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China

⁴ Department of Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China

⁵ School of Public Health, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China (Hong Kong)

⁶ School of Humanities and Communication, Guangdong University of Finance and Economics, Guangzhou, China

⁷ Department of Biostatistics, College of Science, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China (Hong Kong)

⁸ School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China

⁹ Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China

*these authors contributed equally